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Macao Tourism Recovery and Labour Market Trends

Macao Tourism Recovery and Labour Market Trends (2009–2024)

Macao Tourism Recovery and Labour Market Trends (2009–2024)

According to the Government of Macao Statistics and Census Service, the median monthly employment earnings (MMEE) in 2009 stood at 8,500 MOP, rising to 18,000 MOP by 2024 — more than doubling in 15 years. During the same period, the unemployment rate fell from 3.6% to 1.8%.

Tourism as a Driver of Labour Market Shifts

Macao’s economy relies heavily on tourism and Integrated Resorts (IRs). Visitor arrivals surged prior to the pandemic, only to collapse between 2020–2022 due to COVID‑19 travel restrictions. By 2024, arrivals had rebounded to pre‑pandemic highs, signalling a robust recovery.

Unemployment Patterns Linked to Tourism

The unemployment rate hit a record low of 1.7% in 2019 before climbing to 3.7% during the pandemic. In 2024, it fell back to 1.8%, moving in tandem with the tourism sector’s recovery. Pearson correlation analysis revealed a strong negative relationship (-0.736) between visitor arrivals and unemployment — when tourism grows, unemployment falls.

Wages Show Long‑Term Growth

While tourism recovery clearly affects unemployment, its direct effect on wages is weaker (0.108 correlation). The MMEE maintained an upward trend throughout the period, dipping only slightly during the pandemic, partly due to government support measures.


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Correlation Insights

  • MMEE vs Unemployment: Moderate negative correlation (-0.356).
  • Unemployment vs Visitor Arrivals: Strong negative correlation (-0.736).
  • MMEE vs Visitor Arrivals: Weak positive correlation (0.108).

Conclusion

Macao’s case shows a clear link between tourism performance and employment levels, while wage growth has been influenced by broader economic factors. As tourism stabilises post‑pandemic, Macao continues its trajectory as a global tourism hub with sustained income growth.

Data Sources

Government of Macao Statistics and Census Service (DSEC).

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